IAEA predicts worldwide growth of nuclear generation by 2030


The International Atomic Energy Agency predicts the minimum worldwide growth of nuclear generation by 2030 at the level of 17% and the maximum at the level of 94%, said the IAEA Deputy Director General Alexander Bychkov at the 57th session of the International Agency General Conference. He reminded that the IAEA published annual forecasts for the development of nuclear power. "As compared to last year forecast, our estimates slightly declined", noted Bychkov. In 2012, the minimum growth of nuclear generation by 2030 was predicted at the level of 24%, and the maximum at the level of 100%. The main factors that influenced the decline in the estimates in view of the IAEA are the ongoing economic crisis, "the high expectations related to shale gas", and the situation with Japan where nearly all power units are stopped for the time being, said the IAEA official.

According to some experts, "not all reactors in Japan will be put into operation", so by 2020 "there will be some fall in the worldwide nuclear generation indices". At the same time, countries that have already started to implement their nuclear programs continue to work actively in this field. These are Turkey, Bangladesh, Belarus, Jordan, United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Poland. Some countries still see an active construction of nuclear power plants. "In China alone as many as 29 nuclear power units are now being built out of 68 being built worldwide", said the IAEA Deputy Director General. He stressed that the IAEA "in any case expects growth of nuclear generation". "Nuclear power is a fairly steady source and, most crucially, the prices are predictable for a very long term", concluded Alexander Bychkov.